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Intrinsic Value

System1, Inc. · SST

DCF

Conservative

More adverse but historically defensible assumptions.

-$15.40

Base

The model's central intrinsic-value estimate.

-$29.77

Optimistic

More favorable but historically defensible assumptions.

-$46.54

Scenarios are the same model run under different but historically defensible assumptions. They are not price targets. Where a valuation gap is shown it is a comparison with a recent close, not a forecast return; where the price is stale, no gap is shown at all.

Model confidence: 64%Valuation as of Sep 21, 2026Latest filing used Mar 11, 2026

Confidence reflects data completeness, accounting quality, and model reliability. It is not a probability of future price.

Valuation drivers
Normalized operating margin
-24.5%
Normalized NOPAT margin
-19.4%
Revenue growth
-22.6%
WACC
4.79%
Terminal growth
0.00%
Reinvestment method
capital turnover
Terminal-value share
323.1%
Model notes (3)
  • Terminal value is 323% of enterprise value (Base case)
  • Terminal value is 88% of enterprise value (Optimistic case)
  • Preferred equity not reported
Model details
Normalization
V1
Scenario
V2
Confidence
V1
Engine version
valuation-1.0.1-share-units-terminal
Data snapshot
filed:2026-03-11