Intrinsic Value
SiriusPoint Ltd · SPNT
Conservative
More adverse but historically defensible assumptions.
$16.77
Base
The model's central intrinsic-value estimate.
$18.30
Optimistic
More favorable but historically defensible assumptions.
$36.50
Scenarios are the same model run under different but historically defensible assumptions. They are not price targets. Where a valuation gap is shown it is a comparison with a recent close, not a forecast return; where the price is stale, no gap is shown at all.
Model confidence: 80%Valuation as of Sep 21, 2026Latest filing used Feb 24, 2026
Confidence reflects data completeness, accounting quality, and model reliability. It is not a probability of future price.
Valuation drivers
- Normalized ROE
- 9.3%
- Cost of equity
- 10.24%
- Terminal ROE
- 9.8%
- Terminal growth
- 2.50%
- Book common equity
- $2.5B
- Intrinsic common equity
- $2.2B
- Terminal-value share
- -4.3%
Model notes (11)
- Intrinsic value is below book; the forecast return does not cover the cost of equity (Base case)
- Forecast payout capped at 100% of earnings left the demonstrated range (Conservative case)
- Intrinsic value is below book; the forecast return does not cover the cost of equity (Conservative case)
- ROTCE unavailable — tangible common equity is not reported(FY2014–FY2025)
- Book-value rollforward residual of -6.5%(FY2015)
- Book-value rollforward residual of -11.1%(FY2018)
- Book-value rollforward residual of 33.2%(FY2021)
- Book-value rollforward residual of -24.2%(FY2024)
- Book-value rollforward residual of 20.1%(FY2025)
- Combined ratio unavailable — partial insurance expense coverage
- Terminal return on equity is below the cost of equity; terminal value is negative
Model details
- Normalization
- V1
- Scenario
- V2
- Confidence
- V1
- Engine version
- valuation-1.0.1-share-units-terminal
- Data snapshot
- filed:2026-02-24