Intrinsic Value
Simply Good Foods Co · SMPL
Conservative
More adverse but historically defensible assumptions.
$11.10
Base
The model's central intrinsic-value estimate.
$17.84
Optimistic
More favorable but historically defensible assumptions.
$40.15
Scenarios are the same model run under different but historically defensible assumptions. They are not price targets. Where a valuation gap is shown it is a comparison with a recent close, not a forecast return; where the price is stale, no gap is shown at all.
Model confidence: 73%Valuation as of Sep 21, 2026Latest filing used Oct 28, 2025
Confidence reflects data completeness, accounting quality, and model reliability. It is not a probability of future price.
Valuation drivers
- Normalized operating margin
- 15.9%
- Normalized NOPAT margin
- 11.5%
- Revenue growth
- 16.2%
- WACC
- 8.59%
- Terminal growth
- 2.50%
- Reinvestment method
- capital turnover
- Terminal-value share
- 122.0%
Model notes (4)
- Terminal value is 122% of enterprise value (Base case)
- Terminal value is 104% of enterprise value (Conservative case)
- Terminal value is 114% of enterprise value (Optimistic case)
- Minority interest not reported
Model details
- Normalization
- V1
- Scenario
- V2
- Confidence
- V1
- Engine version
- valuation-1.0.1-share-units-terminal
- Data snapshot
- filed:2025-10-28