Intrinsic Value
PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS, INC. · PARR
Conservative
More adverse but historically defensible assumptions.
$96.00
Base
The model's central intrinsic-value estimate.
$181.58
Optimistic
More favorable but historically defensible assumptions.
$370.76
Scenarios are the same model run under different but historically defensible assumptions. They are not price targets. Where a valuation gap is shown it is a comparison with a recent close, not a forecast return; where the price is stale, no gap is shown at all.
Model confidence: 69%Valuation as of Sep 21, 2026Latest filing used Feb 25, 2026
Confidence reflects data completeness, accounting quality, and model reliability. It is not a probability of future price.
Valuation drivers
- Normalized operating margin
- 2.6%
- Normalized NOPAT margin
- 1.6%
- Revenue growth
- 31.0%
- WACC
- 7.90%
- Terminal growth
- 2.50%
- Reinvestment method
- incremental roic
- Terminal-value share
- 86.5%
Model notes (4)
- Terminal value is 86% of enterprise value (Base case)
- Terminal value is 83% of enterprise value (Conservative case)
- Terminal value is 86% of enterprise value (Optimistic case)
- Minority interest not reported
Model details
- Normalization
- V1
- Scenario
- V2
- Confidence
- V1
- Engine version
- valuation-1.0.1-share-units-terminal
- Data snapshot
- filed:2026-02-25