Intrinsic Value
The9 LTD · NCTY
Conservative
More adverse but historically defensible assumptions.
-$0.71
Base
The model's central intrinsic-value estimate.
-$1.17
Optimistic
More favorable but historically defensible assumptions.
-$2.15
Scenarios are the same model run under different but historically defensible assumptions. They are not price targets. Where a valuation gap is shown it is a comparison with a recent close, not a forecast return; where the price is stale, no gap is shown at all.
Model confidence: 64%Valuation as of Sep 21, 2026Latest filing used Apr 28, 2025
Confidence reflects data completeness, accounting quality, and model reliability. It is not a probability of future price.
Valuation drivers
- Normalized operating margin
- -379.2%
- Normalized NOPAT margin
- -459.7%
- Revenue growth
- 12.7%
- WACC
- 8.41%
- Terminal growth
- 2.50%
- Reinvestment method
- capital turnover
- Terminal-value share
- 61.1%
Model notes (1)
- Preferred equity not reported
Model details
- Normalization
- V1
- Scenario
- V2
- Confidence
- V1
- Engine version
- valuation-1.0.1-share-units-terminal
- Data snapshot
- filed:2025-04-28