Intrinsic Value
MICROSOFT CORP · MSFT
Conservative
More adverse but historically defensible assumptions.
$219.21
Base
The model's central intrinsic-value estimate.
$354.08
Optimistic
More favorable but historically defensible assumptions.
$608.91
Last available close: $496.88 · Aug 13, 2026
Market comparison unavailable — price data is stale. No valuation gap is shown, because comparing today's intrinsic value with an old close would read as a statement about today.
Scenarios are the same model run under different but historically defensible assumptions. They are not price targets. Where a valuation gap is shown it is a comparison with a recent close, not a forecast return; where the price is stale, no gap is shown at all.
Confidence reflects data completeness, accounting quality, and model reliability. It is not a probability of future price.
Valuation drivers
- Normalized operating margin
- 44.0%
- Normalized NOPAT margin
- 36.7%
- Revenue growth
- 14.5%
- WACC
- 8.69%
- Terminal growth
- 2.50%
- Reinvestment method
- incremental roic
- Terminal-value share
- 66.6%
Model notes (2)
- Minority interest not reported
- Preferred equity not reported
Model details
- Normalization
- V1
- Scenario
- V2
- Confidence
- V1
- Engine version
- valuation-1.0.1-share-units-terminal
- Data snapshot
- filed:2025-07-30