Intrinsic Value
Li Auto Inc. · LI
Conservative
More adverse but historically defensible assumptions.
$123.19
Base
The model's central intrinsic-value estimate.
$210.01
Optimistic
More favorable but historically defensible assumptions.
$357.75
Scenarios are the same model run under different but historically defensible assumptions. They are not price targets. Where a valuation gap is shown it is a comparison with a recent close, not a forecast return; where the price is stale, no gap is shown at all.
Model confidence: 59%Valuation as of Sep 21, 2026Latest filing used Apr 10, 2025
Confidence reflects data completeness, accounting quality, and model reliability. It is not a probability of future price.
Valuation drivers
- Normalized operating margin
- 2.7%
- Normalized NOPAT margin
- -0.3%
- Revenue growth
- 110.3%
- WACC
- 8.73%
- Terminal growth
- 2.50%
- Reinvestment method
- incremental roic
- Terminal-value share
- 90.7%
Model notes (4)
- Terminal value is 91% of enterprise value (Base case)
- Terminal value is 90% of enterprise value (Conservative case)
- Terminal value is 90% of enterprise value (Optimistic case)
- Preferred equity not reported
Model details
- Normalization
- V1
- Scenario
- V2
- Confidence
- V1
- Engine version
- valuation-1.0.1-share-units-terminal
- Data snapshot
- filed:2025-04-10