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Intrinsic Value

JD.com, Inc. · JD

DCF

Conservative

More adverse but historically defensible assumptions.

$11.85

Base

The model's central intrinsic-value estimate.

$22.36

Optimistic

More favorable but historically defensible assumptions.

$64.58

Scenarios are the same model run under different but historically defensible assumptions. They are not price targets. Where a valuation gap is shown it is a comparison with a recent close, not a forecast return; where the price is stale, no gap is shown at all.

Model confidence: 61%Valuation as of Sep 21, 2026Latest filing used Apr 17, 2025

Confidence reflects data completeness, accounting quality, and model reliability. It is not a probability of future price.

Valuation drivers
Normalized operating margin
2.3%
Normalized NOPAT margin
0.8%
Revenue growth
2.2%
WACC
9.06%
Terminal growth
2.17%
Reinvestment method
direct reinvestment
Terminal-value share
47.2%
Model notes (1)
  • Preferred equity not reported
Model details
Normalization
V1
Scenario
V2
Confidence
V1
Engine version
valuation-1.0.1-share-units-terminal
Data snapshot
filed:2025-04-17