Intrinsic Value
WARRIOR MET COAL, INC. · HCC
Conservative
More adverse but historically defensible assumptions.
$43.14
Base
The model's central intrinsic-value estimate.
$58.32
Optimistic
More favorable but historically defensible assumptions.
$124.61
Scenarios are the same model run under different but historically defensible assumptions. They are not price targets. Where a valuation gap is shown it is a comparison with a recent close, not a forecast return; where the price is stale, no gap is shown at all.
Model confidence: 68%Valuation as of Sep 21, 2026Latest filing used Feb 12, 2026
Confidence reflects data completeness, accounting quality, and model reliability. It is not a probability of future price.
Valuation drivers
- Normalized operating margin
- 30.2%
- Normalized NOPAT margin
- 24.8%
- Revenue growth
- -5.8%
- WACC
- 8.89%
- Terminal growth
- 0.00%
- Reinvestment method
- incremental roic
- Terminal-value share
- 37.2%
Model notes (1)
- Minority interest not reported
Model details
- Normalization
- V1
- Scenario
- V2
- Confidence
- V1
- Engine version
- valuation-1.0.1-share-units-terminal
- Data snapshot
- filed:2026-02-12