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Intrinsic Value

GENWORTH FINANCIAL INC · GNW

Residual Income

Conservative

More adverse but historically defensible assumptions.

$11.85

Base

The model's central intrinsic-value estimate.

$7.30

Optimistic

More favorable but historically defensible assumptions.

$12.88

Scenarios are the same model run under different but historically defensible assumptions. They are not price targets. Where a valuation gap is shown it is a comparison with a recent close, not a forecast return; where the price is stale, no gap is shown at all.

Model confidence: 81%Valuation as of Sep 21, 2026Latest filing used Feb 27, 2026

Confidence reflects data completeness, accounting quality, and model reliability. It is not a probability of future price.

Valuation drivers
Normalized ROE
2.6%
Cost of equity
10.24%
Terminal ROE
6.4%
Terminal growth
2.50%
Book common equity
$8.8B
Intrinsic common equity
$3B
Terminal-value share
-67.5%
Model notes (8)
  • Intrinsic value is below book; the forecast return does not cover the cost of equity (Base case)
  • Forecast payout capped at 100% of earnings left the demonstrated range (Conservative case)
  • Intrinsic value is below book; the forecast return does not cover the cost of equity (Conservative case)
  • ROTCE unavailable — tangible common equity is not reported(FY2015–FY2025)
  • Book-value rollforward residual of -26.1%(FY2023)
  • Intrinsic value is below book; the forecast return does not cover the cost of equity (Optimistic case)
  • Combined ratio unavailable — partial insurance expense coverage
  • Terminal return on equity is below the cost of equity; terminal value is negative
Model details
Normalization
V1
Scenario
V2
Confidence
V1
Engine version
valuation-1.0.1-share-units-terminal
Data snapshot
filed:2026-02-27