Intrinsic Value
Frontdoor, Inc. · FTDR
Conservative
More adverse but historically defensible assumptions.
$21.37
Base
The model's central intrinsic-value estimate.
$30.94
Optimistic
More favorable but historically defensible assumptions.
$6,029.13
Scenarios are the same model run under different but historically defensible assumptions. They are not price targets. Where a valuation gap is shown it is a comparison with a recent close, not a forecast return; where the price is stale, no gap is shown at all.
Model confidence: 58%Valuation as of Sep 21, 2026Latest filing used Feb 26, 2026
Confidence reflects data completeness, accounting quality, and model reliability. It is not a probability of future price.
Valuation drivers
- Normalized ROE
- 131.4%
- Cost of equity
- 10.24%
- Terminal ROE
- 70.8%
- Terminal growth
- 2.50%
- Book common equity
- $242M
- Intrinsic common equity
- $2.3B
- Terminal-value share
- 28.8%
Model notes (11)
- Forecast payout capped at 100% of earnings left the demonstrated range (Base case)
- Forecast payout capped at 100% of earnings left the demonstrated range (Conservative case)
- Book-value rollforward residual of -13.4%(FY2019)
- Book-value rollforward residual of -29.5%(FY2020)
- Book-value rollforward residual of 1150.0%(FY2021)
- Book-value rollforward residual of 34.4%(FY2022)
- Book-value rollforward residual of 19.9%(FY2023)
- Book-value rollforward residual of 14.6%(FY2024)
- Book-value rollforward residual of 17.8%(FY2025)
- Terminal value is 78% of intrinsic equity value (Optimistic case)
- Combined ratio unavailable — partial insurance expense coverage
Model details
- Normalization
- V1
- Scenario
- V2
- Confidence
- V1
- Engine version
- valuation-1.0.1-share-units-terminal
- Data snapshot
- filed:2026-02-26