Intrinsic Value
FARMERS NATIONAL BANC CORP /OH/ · FMNB
Conservative
More adverse but historically defensible assumptions.
$12.92
Base
The model's central intrinsic-value estimate.
$16.16
Optimistic
More favorable but historically defensible assumptions.
$40.96
Scenarios are the same model run under different but historically defensible assumptions. They are not price targets. Where a valuation gap is shown it is a comparison with a recent close, not a forecast return; where the price is stale, no gap is shown at all.
Model confidence: 77%Valuation as of Sep 21, 2026Latest filing used Mar 5, 2026
Confidence reflects data completeness, accounting quality, and model reliability. It is not a probability of future price.
Valuation drivers
- Normalized ROE
- 12.4%
- Cost of equity
- 9.95%
- Terminal ROE
- 11.2%
- Terminal growth
- 2.50%
- Book common equity
- $485.7M
- Intrinsic common equity
- $608.6M
- Terminal-value share
- 8.0%
Model notes (10)
- Forecast payout capped at 100% of earnings left the demonstrated range (Conservative case)
- Book-value rollforward residual of 35.5%(FY2015)
- Book-value rollforward residual of 6.7%(FY2020)
- Book-value rollforward residual of 20.6%(FY2021)
- Book-value rollforward residual of 15.1%(FY2023)
- Net charge-offs unavailable
- Net interest income to assets is a proxy; average earning assets are unavailable so no net interest margin is published
- Non-performing loans unavailable
- Regulatory capital constraint unavailable
- Share count method: ending shares fallback
Model details
- Normalization
- V1
- Scenario
- V2
- Confidence
- V1
- Engine version
- valuation-1.0.1-share-units-terminal
- Data snapshot
- filed:2026-03-05