Intrinsic Value
Avalon GloboCare Corp. · ALBT
Conservative
More adverse but historically defensible assumptions.
$32.32
Base
The model's central intrinsic-value estimate.
$3.05
Optimistic
More favorable but historically defensible assumptions.
$2.91
Scenarios are the same model run under different but historically defensible assumptions. They are not price targets. Where a valuation gap is shown it is a comparison with a recent close, not a forecast return; where the price is stale, no gap is shown at all.
Model confidence: 64%Valuation as of Sep 21, 2026Latest filing used Mar 30, 2026
Confidence reflects data completeness, accounting quality, and model reliability. It is not a probability of future price.
Valuation drivers
- Normalized ROE
- -219.8%
- Cost of equity
- 10.24%
- Terminal ROE
- -104.8%
- Terminal growth
- 2.50%
- Book common equity
- $9.2M
- Intrinsic common equity
- $9.8M
- Terminal-value share
- 0.0%
Model notes (19)
- Forecast payout capped at 100% of earnings left the demonstrated range (Conservative case)
- ROTCE unavailable — tangible common equity is not reported(FY2015–FY2024)
- Book-value rollforward residual of 33.7%(FY2017)
- Book-value rollforward residual of 104.5%(FY2018)
- Book-value rollforward residual of 233.8%(FY2019)
- Book-value rollforward residual of 297.9%(FY2020)
- Book-value rollforward residual of 260.4%(FY2021)
- Book-value rollforward residual of 512.0%(FY2022)
- Book-value rollforward residual of 297.7%(FY2023)
- Book-value rollforward residual of 107.5%(FY2024)
- Book-value rollforward residual of 219.2%(FY2025)
- Combined ratio unavailable — partial insurance expense coverage
- Terminal return on equity is below the cost of equity; terminal value is negative
- Terminal roe not positive retention undefined
- Year 1 forecast net income negative payout suspended
- Year 3 forecast net income negative payout suspended
- Year 5 forecast net income negative payout suspended
- Year 7 forecast net income negative payout suspended
- Year 9 forecast net income negative payout suspended
Model details
- Normalization
- V1
- Scenario
- V2
- Confidence
- V1
- Engine version
- valuation-1.0.1-share-units-terminal
- Data snapshot
- filed:2026-03-30