Intrinsic Value
AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP, INC. · AIG
Conservative
More adverse but historically defensible assumptions.
$43.41
Base
The model's central intrinsic-value estimate.
$22.06
Optimistic
More favorable but historically defensible assumptions.
$31.09
Scenarios are the same model run under different but historically defensible assumptions. They are not price targets. Where a valuation gap is shown it is a comparison with a recent close, not a forecast return; where the price is stale, no gap is shown at all.
Model confidence: 83%Valuation as of Sep 21, 2026Latest filing used Feb 12, 2026
Confidence reflects data completeness, accounting quality, and model reliability. It is not a probability of future price.
Valuation drivers
- Normalized ROE
- 2.7%
- Cost of equity
- 10.24%
- Terminal ROE
- 6.5%
- Terminal growth
- 2.50%
- Book common equity
- $41.1B
- Intrinsic common equity
- $12.6B
- Terminal-value share
- -83.5%
Model notes (10)
- Intrinsic value is below book; the forecast return does not cover the cost of equity (Base case)
- Terminal value is -83% of intrinsic equity value (Base case)
- Forecast payout capped at 100% of earnings left the demonstrated range (Conservative case)
- Intrinsic value is below book; the forecast return does not cover the cost of equity (Conservative case)
- ROTCE unavailable — tangible common equity is not reported(FY2014–FY2023)
- Book-value rollforward residual of -5.3%(FY2023)
- Intrinsic value is below book; the forecast return does not cover the cost of equity (Optimistic case)
- Terminal value is -76% of intrinsic equity value (Optimistic case)
- Combined ratio unavailable — partial insurance expense coverage
- Terminal return on equity is below the cost of equity; terminal value is negative
Model details
- Normalization
- V1
- Scenario
- V2
- Confidence
- V1
- Engine version
- valuation-1.0.1-share-units-terminal
- Data snapshot
- filed:2026-02-12