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Intrinsic Value

Apple Inc. · AAPL

DCF

Conservative

More adverse but historically defensible assumptions.

$97.66

Base

The model's central intrinsic-value estimate.

$208.78

Optimistic

More favorable but historically defensible assumptions.

$427.94

Last available close: $305.26 · Aug 13, 2026

Market comparison unavailable — price data is stale. No valuation gap is shown, because comparing today's intrinsic value with an old close would read as a statement about today.

Scenarios are the same model run under different but historically defensible assumptions. They are not price targets. Where a valuation gap is shown it is a comparison with a recent close, not a forecast return; where the price is stale, no gap is shown at all.

Model confidence: 68%Valuation as of Sep 21, 2026Latest filing used Oct 31, 2025

Confidence reflects data completeness, accounting quality, and model reliability. It is not a probability of future price.

Valuation drivers
Normalized operating margin
31.0%
Normalized NOPAT margin
25.7%
Revenue growth
5.9%
WACC
6.64%
Terminal growth
2.50%
Reinvestment method
direct reinvestment
Terminal-value share
67.9%
Model notes (2)
  • Minority interest not reported
  • Preferred equity not reported
Model details
Normalization
V1
Scenario
V2
Confidence
V1
Engine version
valuation-1.0.1-share-units-terminal
Data snapshot
filed:2025-10-31